Weekly Analysis - 24 June

  • 24 Jun 2016 10:14
The G4S Risk Analysis team produces weekly risk analysis pieces on current events pertinent to security and business operations. Please see below for excerpts of our weekly analysis for the week ending 24 June.
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UK: MP death increases focus over far-right extremism

On 16 June, Labour MP Jo Cox was fatally shot and stabbed during an attack carried out by an individual with alleged far-right sympathies. Cox had finished her weekly constituency surgery at a library in Birstall, West Yorkshire, when she was attacked by a man later identified as Thomas Mair, a 52-year-old local man. A second victim suffered serious but non-life-threatening injuries during the attack while attempting to assist Cox. To read more, sign up here

Afghanistan/Pakistan:  Torkham border dispute underscores fragility of bilateral relations

June has seen tensions flare between Pakistan and Afghanistan over the closure of the Torkham border crossing. Skirmishes broke out between forces from either side on 13 June after Pakistan closed the crossing amid a dispute with Afghanistan over the construction of a security gate intended to prevent the cross-border movement of Islamist militants and illegal migrants. Small arms and mortar fire left four people dead and more than 40 others wounded, including a number of civilians. The Afghan authorities allege that Pakistan erected the gate on disputed territory and that its construction violated a mutual understanding regarding the porosity of the eastern border, known as the Durand Line. Islamabad reject the allegations, arguing that the gate was erected well within Pakistani territory. While a ceasefire was signed on 15 June, tensions between the two countries over the crossing are set to persist. To read more, sign up here

Mexico:  Teachers’ protests increase anti-government sentiment in Oaxaca

On 19 June, a protest by teachers in Oaxaca state ended in clashes with police forces, leaving at least six people dead and more than 100 others injured. The unrest took place after a week of highway blockades and other protests by the CNTE teachers’ union, which is demanding the release of its recently-imprisoned leaders. The latest spat of violence has triggered widespread controversy as human rights groups accuse the government of using excessive force against the demonstrators, while government supporters approve the crackdown on the powerful union and its attempts to block the overhaul of the education system. To read more, sign up here

Libya: Militia confrontation in the east underscores lack of high-level unity

The Tobruk-based government associated with the House of Representatives (HoR) declared martial law in areas under its control on 19 June following armed clashes near an oil terminal in Ajdabiya on 18 June. The attack was claimed by a newly formed militia group, the Benghazi Defence Brigades (BDB), which has pledged to confront General Khalifa Haftar’s forces, the so-called Libyan National Army (LNA). The confrontation and threats against HoR and its forces are indicative of the continued failure of a unity government to gain legitimacy and control in Libya. This lack of macro-level unity continues to foster violence and competition across Libya, facilitating the rise of more militant groups. To read more, sign up here