Global Forecast - Q3
With insights from our analysts, consultants and regional experts, we hope that the Global Forecast continues to inform your perception of risk.
- The threat posed by jihadist militancy will continue to dominate security perceptions worldwide, as terrorist violence in various countries continues to draw adherents and attention
- By way of the financial crisis in Greece, the possibility beckons of the first country to leave both the Eurozone and the European Union, with unknown consequences for regional economies
- The Kremlin appears set on building a role in fomenting disunity within the EU, focusing on both anti-systemic parties and pro-Russian groups from the Baltics to the Balkans
- Sub-Saharan Africa’s security environment is improving as regional cooperation pegs back its two bloodiest insurgencies in Somali and Nigeria, though cross border risks remain
- Latin America faces an unstable future as commodity prices fall, with economies in Venezuela, Brazil and Argentina set for the hardest landing
- China’s land reclamation activities in the South China Sea will be a regional flashpoint, but the immediate-term risk of outright armed conflict remains minimal