Global Forecast - Q3

  • 31 Oct 2015 04:31

The Risk Analysis team at G4S Risk Consulting presents the Global Forecast 2015 – Q3, our assessment of the key global security trends for the third quarter of the year.


With insights from our analysts, consultants and regional experts, we hope that the Global Forecast continues to inform your perception of risk. 


  • The threat posed by jihadist militancy will continue to dominate security perceptions worldwide, as terrorist violence in various countries continues to draw adherents and attention
  • By way of the financial crisis in Greece, the possibility beckons of the first country to leave both the Eurozone and the European Union, with unknown consequences for regional economies
  • The Kremlin appears set on building a role in fomenting disunity within the EU, focusing on both anti-systemic parties and pro-Russian groups from the Baltics to the Balkans
  • Sub-Saharan Africa’s security environment is improving as regional cooperation pegs back its two bloodiest insurgencies in Somali and Nigeria, though cross border risks remain 
  • Latin America faces an unstable future as commodity prices fall, with economies in Venezuela, Brazil and Argentina set for the hardest landing
  • China’s land reclamation activities in the South China Sea will be a regional flashpoint, but the immediate-term risk of outright armed conflict remains minimal
Click here to download the full report